MSR Decode
MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №14 of 25

Allezpapa

0xe549581668a5751c1972d3ad2d1991d900bd2d54

$1.7M · 30-day displayed profit

Insufficient evidence

The book won’t reconcile — we can’t verify how this money was made, so we won’t guess. That’s the answer, and it’s often the one that saves you.

Not copyable

Polymarket displayed
$1.67M
MSR reconstructed
$2.41M
144.5% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
99.3%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
0.7%

Over-reconstructs to 145% on a fill log our own engine flags truncated — an overshoot a partial log can produce on its own. The gap is unreconciled.

The book won’t reconcile from public data, so we don’t guess. That refusal is the product. Our verbatim rationale for this wallet is on file in the reconstruction workpaper, next to the errors on the wallets we did score.

47271 fills · 141 markets · avg buy $0.515 · top market: UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Wel

Get the full Decode Report on Allezpapa — the fill-by-fill ledger, the mechanism decomposition, and the written argument for the verdict.

Nominate the next public decode