filthybetz
$961K · 30-day displayed profit
The book is the wallet’s own — it just doesn’t reconcile closely enough. The rebuilt figure lands outside the ±15% band we publish as the condition for the stamp, so we don’t certify an edge on it.
Not copyable
Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.
Re-stamped 2026-07-16 (was Real edge): reconstructs to 84.96% of displayed profit — 15.04 points from par, outside the ±15% band the scorecard publishes as the condition for the stamp. The figure is built from the wallet's own fills; it simply does not land inside our promise.
This wallet was stamped Real edge — copyable when the scorecard first published. Its reconstruction is substantially the wallet’s own fills — no open-book mark is carrying it — but it does not land inside the ±15% band we publish as the condition for the stamp. We corrected the verdict on 2026-07-16 rather than widen the promise to fit. The dated correction, the arithmetic, and the accuracy numbers this does not change are in the reconstruction workpaper.
8067 fills · 42 markets · avg buy $0.462 · top market: Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Get the full Decode Report on filthybetz — the fill-by-fill ledger, the mechanism decomposition, and the written argument for the verdict.