MSR Decode
MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №23 of 25

FootballFan98

0xc31d0a0d63d760d72a1236d16beaa6a71c854ebe

$973K · 30-day displayed profit

Insufficient evidence

The book won’t reconcile — we can’t verify how this money was made, so we won’t guess. That’s the answer, and it’s often the one that saves you.

Not copyable

Polymarket displayed
$973K
MSR reconstructed
$-620K
-63.7% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
84.6%
Post-resolution
0.1%
Bilateral (two-sided)
15.3%

Reconstruction fails; no decisive structural signal.

The book won’t reconcile from public data, so we don’t guess. That refusal is the product. Our verbatim rationale for this wallet is on file in the reconstruction workpaper, next to the errors on the wallets we did score.

21028 fills · 137 markets · avg buy $0.535 · top market: Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?

Get the full Decode Report on FootballFan98 — the fill-by-fill ledger, the mechanism decomposition, and the written argument for the verdict.

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