MSR Decode
MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №12 of 25

hot2trot

0xb61b2079b95f6b7476fd3203e0274ffb93308a06

$1.8M · 30-day displayed profit

Real edge

The profit reconstructs and the mechanism is copyable. Whether it’s copyable by you — sizing, timing, liquidity — is what the full report is for.

Copyable

Polymarket displayed
$1.79M
MSR reconstructed
$1.98M
110.8% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
95.7%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
4.3%

111% reconstruction, low two-sided share, no crutch.

5929 fills · 47 markets · avg buy $0.498 · top market: Spread: Spain (-1.5)

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